Let’s try to focus on a few statistics we’re thankful for this week. Behold, a cornucopia of NFL goodness…
65.6 – Tua Tagovailoa has completed 65.6% of pass attempts traveling more than 20 yards downfield according to PFF, the best rate in the league from afar — and two of his 11 incompletions on those pitches were classified as drops. It’s hard to overstate how silly that completion rate really is; Kyler Murray led all passers in deep accuracy last year at 49.3%. Six of Tagovailoa’s 31 deep throws have resulted in touchdowns so far. Say what you will about his arm strength relative to other NFL quarterbacks, but there has literally been no one better at deep throws this season.
58 – After forcing another five missed tackles on Sunday, Josh Jacobs he now leads all rushers with 58 in his 183 carries this year. That shouldn’t come as much of a surprise because he’s ranked among the leaders in that area in every healthy season of his career. And yet, for several Josh McDaniels and/or reasons related to the Hall of Fame game, people were running away from Jacobs in fantasy drafts. When all the numbers are finally in, he’ll end up being perhaps the biggest draft steal in our game. Jacobs is objectively excellent as a runner and is on pace to set new career highs.
44 – From the one-catch, three-yard performance in Week 8 that left you seething, Front Adams it has been an unstoppable force. He’s seen a ridiculous 44 targets over his last three games, with five touchdowns and an average of 8.7 receptions and 137.7 yards per week. His target share is an absurd 39.7% during this stretch. Denver’s pass defense is among the NFL’s best, but it had no answers for the game’s best receiving coach Sunday afternoon:
15.5 -Finished Brandon AiyukOver the past five games, he’s averaging 15.5 fantasy points in Yahoo’s default rating, which of course puts him among the WR1s. He has seen 39 targets during that stretch, scoring five touchdowns and going over 80 yards four times. Basically we have to deal with Aiyuk and Deebo Samuel as receivers with roughly equivalent fantasy value the rest of the season, each ranking in the top 20. It’s another DK Metcalf–Tyler Lockett situation, no wrong answer.
14.7 – Chris OlaveThe average depth of target is 14.7 yards per attempt through 10 games, second-highest in the league among players who have seen at least 50 chances. He’s been a rushing yardage monster all season and leads all rookies in receiving yards by an obscene margin (233 yards more than Garrett Wilson). It’s not normal for a freshman amp to make it look so easy:
Given Olave’s skill level and the nature of his goals, it’s easy to imagine that the best games of his rookie season are still ahead of him.
9.5 – Christian Kirk has scored 9.5 targets per game over his last four, rebounding from an out-of-character one-catch performance in Week 5. Kirk has already set a new single-season high in TD receptions (7) and he’s about to destroy his career bests in yards and total catches. He has a series of spectacular matchups ahead of him (Baltimore, Detroit, Tennessee) and gets Houston in Championship Week. We throw around the term “league winner” far too often in fantasy, but there’s at least a chance it applies to Jacksonville’s No. 1 receiver.