January 29, 2023

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folks.. it’s finally over. A whole year of hypothetical gambling with unwise strategies has finally come to an end. I really enjoyed writing this blog every week and following these tips. Kudos to the shocking amount of people who went, that was about 10 of you. I’m going to do something different for the bowl games, but now let’s take a look at how my last week of fake gambling went and see if I was able to make fake money.

So the 5 strategies I’ve used so far have proven themselves

Low Team Total Overs: 27-23, $218 (+2.18u)

Giant Money Line Favorites: 43-7, -$78 (-0.78u)

Move Line Overs: 34-14-1, -$385 (-3.85u)

Unders in Q1: 23-27, -$991 (-9.91u)

Long Shot Parlays: 1-49, $2,426 (-24.26u)

The low team total overs and the giant money line favorites are the only strategies I have a realistic chance of winning. I suppose the long shot parlays still have a chance, but I would have to hit 2 of them and I’ve only hit 1 out of 50 so far. So that seems like a long way to go.

Giant Money Line Favorites: 43-7, -$78 (-0.78u)

Akron 44 @ Northern Illinois 12: Northern Illinois ML
Lost $100 (lmao what a start)

State of Iowa 14 @ TCU 62: TCU ML
Won $27

Kansas 27 @ State of Kansas 47: State of Kansas ML
Won $23

Michigan 45 @ Ohio State 23: Ohio State ML
Lost $100 (so lost a whole lot of real money too)

State of Georgia 23 @ Marshall 28: Marshall ML
Won $45 (feels like I won every time I bet on Marshall this year)

2-3, -$105 (-1.05u) this week. That is unfortunate. I’m still very upset with Ohio State. I bet with them before the game, I bet with all their player props, I bet with them live when they lost. I was so sure that they would win this game. Now they have ruined my Giant Money Line Favorites strategy. I will never forgive them.

Season Total: 45-10, -$183 (-1.83u)

Move Line Overs: 34-14-1, -$385 (-3.85u)

Pittsburgh 42 @ Miami 16: Over 35.5
Won $32

Purdue 30 @ Indiana 16: Over 45.5
Won $34

Auburn 27 @ Alabama 49: Over 41
Won $32

Michigan 45 @ Ohio State 23: Over 47.5
Won $32

Georgia Tech 14 @ Georgia 37: Over 41.5
Won $33

5-0, $163 (+1.63u) this week. There you are! What a way to end this strategy that has been kicking my ass all year. This is how I imagined the process. That makes my record here this week look a little more respectable.

Season total: 39-14-1, -$222 (-2.22u)

Low Team Total Overs: 27-23, $218 (+2.18u)

Army 44 @ UMass 7: UMass over 12.5
$100 loss

Utah 63 @ Colorado 21: Colorado over 10.5
Won $98

Auburn 27 @ Alabama 49: Auburn over 13.5
Won $92

New Mexico State 0 @ Liberty 17: New Mexico State over 13.5
$100 loss

Georgia Tech 14 @ Georgia 37: Georgia Tech over 6.5
Won $77

3-2, $67 (+0.67u) this week. WOOOOOO!!! I did it! This is a ridiculous way to bet on football matches, but it seemed to work pretty well all year long. The totals are so low that you only need a few big hits at any point in the game. The bets are never dead until the clock hits zero. If I do this again next year, I’ll keep that strategy in here.

Season Total: 30-25, $285 (+2.85)

Unders in Q1: 23-27, -$991 (-9.91u)

Georgia State 23 @ Marshall 29: 1Q under 9.5
1Q points 7, $95 won

Louisville 13 @ Kentucky 26: 1Q under 9.5
1Q points 7, $91 won

Pittsburgh 42 @ Miami 16: 1Q under 9.5
1Q points 14, loss $100

Minnesota 23 @ Wisconsin 16: 1Q under 7.5
1Q points 10, loss $100

Illinois 41 @ Northwestern 3: 1Q under 7.5
1Q points 7, $74 won

3-2, $60 (+0.6u) this week. At least I ended up with a winning week and I didn’t go to -$1000. I don’t necessarily recommend this strategy. Every bet is like -250 and I didn’t even win half of my picks.

Season Total: 26-29, -$931 (-9.31u)

Long Shot Parlays: 1-49, $2,426 (-24.26u)

Game 1 (ACC)

Wake Forest 31 @ Duke 34: Wake Forest ML-157
Pittsburgh 42 @ Miami 16: Pittsburgh -6.5
Louisville 13 @ Kentucky 26: Kentucky ML-159

South Carolina 31 @ Clemson 30: South Carolina +14.5
Georgia Tech 14 @ Georgia 37: Georgia Tech +36

Losing $100 (so damn close)

Parley 2 (Big 10)

Nebraska 24 @ Iowa 17: Under 39.5
Michigan State 16 @ Penn State 35: Michigan State +19
Purdue 30 @ Indiana 16: Indiana +10.5
Minnesota 23 @ Wisconsin 16: Wisconsin ML -165
Michigan 45 @ Ohio State 23: Ohio State -9

Loss $100 (so don’t close)

Parley 3 (Big 12)

Kansas 27 @ State of Kansas 47: State of Kansas -11.5
Oklahoma 48 @ Texas Tech 51: Oklahoma -2
West Virginia 24 @ Oklahoma State 19: Under 62.5
West Virginia 24 @ Oklahoma State 19: West Virginia +8.5
State of Iowa 14 @ TCU 62: State of Iowa +10

$100 loss

Game 4 (SEC)

Tennessee 56 @ Vanderbilt 0: Over 64.5
Arkansas 27 @ Missouri 29: Under 55.5
Florida 38 @ Florida State 35: Florida +9.5
Maroon 27 @ Alabama 49: Maroon +22
LSU 23 @ Texas A&M 38: Texas A&M +10

$100 loss

Parley 5 (PAC-12)

Notre Dame 27 @ USC 38: Under 64
Notre Dame 27 @ USC 38: Notre Dame +155

Washington 51 @ Washington State 33: Over 60
Washington @ Washington State: Washington ML -125
Oregon 34 @ Oregon State 38: Oregon ML-150

$100 loss

0-5, -$500 (-5.0u) this week. Too bad. Statistically I should have hit more than 1 of these throughout the year right? I’m pretty close I think. One thing I can promise you is that I will never stop throwing long shot parlays

Season Total: 0-54, -$2,926 (-29.26u)

end of season

Low Team Total Overs: 30-25, $285 (+2.85)
Giant Money Line Favorites: 45-10, -$183 (-1.83u)
Move Line Overs: 39-14-1, -$222 (-2.22u)

Unders in Q1: 26-29, -$931 (-9.31u)
Long Shot Parlays: 0-54, -$2,926 (-29.26u)

Welp, that was a fun experiment. When I do this next year, I want to do it with appropriately sized units so I can actually bet everything and feel like I have real skin in the game. Even if it’s only $5 per bet.

Thanks to everyone who stuck with me throughout the season while I chatted with these tips. The Bowl Season Special will come out after the bowl games have been decided.

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