NC State vs East Carolina Odds, Picks & Predictions

North Carolina State and East Carolina will start the season against each other.

We’ve entered another season and the Wolfpack has a lot of preseason hype. For many in the ACC media, North Carolina was seen as a legitimate threat to Clemson winning the entire conference.

The East Carolina plan also has some hype. This appears to be an AAC team that is quietly emerging and would have built a 7-5 season a year ago.

Can pirates hang out in this place to cover up the spread – or get rid of the unease altogether? Check out our college football drafts and predictions for North Carolina and East Carolina.

North Carolina vs East Carolina odds

This odds widget represents best odds Every betting market from regulated sportsbooks.

NC State’s spread is a 12-point favorite and hasn’t gotten away with that. The total opens at 52 and remains the same, but has a slight monetary advantage over Under.

Use the live odds widget above to keep track of any future line moves until kickoff, and be sure to check out the full college football odds before placing your bets.

North Carolina vs. East Carolina Forecast

Forecast as of September 1, 2022 at 6:00 PM ET.
Click on each prediction to jump to the full analysis.

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North Carolina vs East Carolina Match Information

Place: Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium, Greenville, NC
date: Saturday, September 3, 2021
start: 12:00 PM EST
television: ESPN

North Carolina vs East Carolina Betting Preview


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Betting Trends to Know

Under is 5-2 in NC State’s last seven nonconference games. Find out more about NCAA betting trends in North Carolina vs. East Carolina.

North Carolina vs. East Carolina picks and projections

Our sideline and total predictions are based on our analysis of the game’s lines and totals. Our best picks are our favorites across all markets.

Spread Analysis

North Carolina State is entering a highly anticipated season for the third year in a row. This time, mostly due to multiple seniors taking advantage of the extra COVID year. The past two years have been underwhelming under Dave Doreen, with no double-digit wins in the first two years.

So in Game 1, I couldn’t justify using the Wolfpack on the road to make up for double-digit spread.

A year ago, NC State was one of the least efficient offenses in the ACC. Its efficiency rating — a statistic that measures success — is 40 percent. This offense will fill some holes this season, replacing three offensive linebackers and the entire backcourt.

So it’s hard to believe that double-digit numbers can be covered. It also explains why I’m not as keen on the North Carolina hype as others.

This offense is tasked with regularly scoring East Carolina’s defense, which was good a season ago and should be improved. Last year, it allowed opponents to have a touchdown percentage below the touchdown more than 75 percent of the time. This is the AAC’s 2nd and 33rd nationally.

With the exception of the talented All-AAC CB Ja’Quan McMillan, most of the Buccaneers’ defense is back. The rest of the setter, which intercepted 15 passes, came back. The line is as good as it used to be, with depth and toughness returning to its most famous players. This is something pirates have been building for years.

East Carolina should do a good enough job slowing North Carolina’s offense to stay in the game. The question is, can the Buccaneers do what they want on offense — run the ball? I believe they can. At least, I think they can do it.

NC State’s defense was solid a season ago, but a spate of injuries has revealed what I thought would look more like this early in the year. That discovery allowed North Carolina to finish the season with 7.2 yards per carry. Unfortunately, it missed all of the linebackers in those games and will miss them again after they leave school.

I’m rooting for East Carolina’s total upset here. That number is so valuable in a game that it should be close from start to finish. NC State hasn’t won a game in Greenville since 2007, and now it has the most talented East Carolina team in some time.

Support the pirates to pull it off.

prophecy: East Carolina Money Line (FanDuel +350)

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Over/under analysis

Run, run, run. That’s what East Carolina wants to do, for a number of reasons. One is to keep North Carolina’s offense off the field, and the other is to impose its physical offensive line and charge in the game. That means tick, tick, tick from the clock, this game is pointing straight down.

Some trends also agree with this.

Under is 5-1 in East Carolina’s last six home games, including a 4-0 win over Under in its final four.

Under is also 5-2 in North Carolina’s last seven nonconference games.

The competitive aspect of the game also points to some close-to-the-jacket matches. I’ve talked a lot about East Carolina’s offense. I think it’s important to this handicap because I believe it controls most of the game, but let’s talk about North Carolina’s offense.

It’s hard to pinpoint exactly what NC State’s offense will look like. It lost its best receiver in Emeka Emezie and its best running back in Donovan Knight.

The offense wasn’t efficient last season, so naturally we shouldn’t expect it to be efficient out the door. NC State’s pace last season was below average, and there’s no reason to change it with so many moving parts.

I’m going to choose Under here because both the trend and my hurdles align with it.

prophecy: below 51.5 (FanDuel -105)

the best choice

We have a lovely mix that would make Under my best bet.

We have the North Carolina offense on the one hand and will still try to work things out. While it has an excellent signal caller in Devin Leary, the pawns around him are largely a question mark. So it’s likely that the Wolfpack will have some speeding bugs on the road early in the season.

On the other hand, we have an offense that knows what it wants to do. It wants to run the ball more than it did a season ago, which should burn the clock. That’s an Under bettor’s best friend.

pick: below 51.5 (-105 at FanDuel)

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